Timcast IRL · September 30, 2023 · 2h 0m
Timcast IRL #872 RFK JR Prepares Independent Run SPIKING Democrats, HELPING TRUMP w/Rich Baris
Episode Recap
Tim Pool hosted Timcast IRL episode 872 on September 30, 2023, with co-hosts Ian Crossland, Phil Labonte, and Serge. The main discussion centered on Robert F. Kennedy Jr.'s announcement that he would be running for president as an independent candidate. Tim and the panel discussed how Kennedy's independent run would impact the 2024 election, particularly how it would hurt the Democratic Party and potentially benefit Trump. Polling expert Rich Baris joined the show to analyze Kennedy's polling numbers, which ranged from 7% to 25% depending on the poll. The conversation explored how Kennedy was planning attack ads against the Democratic National Committee and felt the DNC was changing rules to exclude his candidacy. Tim also touched on the death of Senator Dianne Feinstein, noting she passed away and discussing the succession process with Gavin Newsom potentially choosing her replacement. The show also promoted the upcoming Timcast IRL X Miami event scheduled for October 6th, featuring various guests including Patrick Bet-David, David James O'Keefe, Matt Gaetz, and comedian Alex Stein. The panel discussed how RFK Jr. met with Libertarian Party Chair Angela McArdle and emphasized his libertarian leanings. Tim highlighted how polling data showed that many Kennedy supporters would vote for Trump if he became the nominee, drawing comparisons to Bernie Sanders supporters voting for Trump in 2016.
TL;DR
- →RFK Jr. announced plans to run as an independent candidate on October 9th in Philadelphia, citing DNC rule changes that excluded his candidacy
- →Pollster Rich Baris analyzed Kennedy's polling numbers ranging from 7% to 25%, noting how these numbers could hurt Democrats more than Republicans
- →Senator Dianne Feinstein passed away, creating a Senate succession situation with Gavin Newsom set to choose her replacement
- →The panel discussed how RFK Jr.'s independent run could spike Democratic support and help Trump in the 2024 election
- →Tim promoted the Timcast IRL X Miami event on October 6th featuring Patrick Bet-David, Matt Gaetz, and other guests
- →Kennedy met with Libertarian Party Chair Angela McArdle and emphasized his libertarian positions on many issues
Key Moments
- 0:00Opening and News SetupTim opened the show discussing BetMGM Casino ad read, RFK Jr. independent run news, and Senator Feinstein's death
- 30:00RFK Jr. Independent Run AnalysisRich Baris joined to discuss polling data on Kennedy's potential independent candidacy and election implications
- 60:00Election Impact DiscussionPanel debated how Kennedy's run would hurt Democrats and potentially benefit Trump with crossover voters
- 90:00Senate and Political SuccessionDiscussion of Feinstein's death, Gavin Newsom's replacement power, and Bob Menendez situation
- 120:00Event Promotion and ClosingTim promoted the Miami event and TimCast.com membership, discussed Public Square app sponsorship
Notable Quotes
“RFK Jr. is preparing an independent run. So say the reports and based on the polling data it looks like this will be a major spike for Democrats and now Ross Perot is trending on Twitter but I like RFK Jr. I think he knows what he's doing and should be interesting.”
— Tim Pool · opening segment discussing the main story
“If he runs as an independent and he goes after the DNC over this he is spiking the Democratic Party, is going to help Trump.”
— Tim Pool · main discussion on RFK Jr. impact on election
“I'm a polster. People's pundit. I'm thinking about this RFK thing. Polls have him in a wide range from seven up to 25, I think seven's a little low, 25 is a little high.”
— Rich Baris · guest introduction and polling analysis
“They gave Kennedy the middle finger which they should not have done. He's polling decently. If you're Trump, you're looking at it like I want some of those RFK voters like Bernie voters in 2016.”
— Tim Pool · analysis of political implications
“Happy to be here. It's so much fun. It just gets better and better with age.”
— Ian Crossland · co-host segment